News of the story
"On Point"
MINSK, 4 March (BelTA) – As they attacked Iran they counted on internal protests, which regularly occur in the country but instead people began rallying round the flag, Russian political scientist and orientalist Karine Gevorgyan said in the latest episode of the V Teme (On Point) project on BelTA’s YouTube channel.
The expert noted that a war as such requires certain arithmetic. “Let's do the math. After all, war is not only 'noble fury,' it's not only emotions, blood, and so on, but also, among other things, simple arithmetic. We cannot ignore it. Let's calculate. Back in the day, about 15 years ago, the Pentagon issued the estimates on a ground operation. According to the document, a ground operation would require a huge contingent of 800,000, up to a million. It was back then when Iran did not have such missile armaments and such capacity for resistance. There is no such contingent, that's clear. It's impossible to assemble it. The second thing I recommend to your subscribers and viewers is to look at the map. Iran is a very large country with a very complex landscape. It's not Iraq, where you could drive at breakneck speed as if under a table. That won't work,” the political scientist said.
"They made a bet on internal protests, which occur regularly in Iran,” Karine Gevorgyan emphasized. “If that was a military calculation, it turned out to be a mistake, because it is clear that in the current conditions, the society is consolidating.”
The orientalist cited an example from an interview with a resident of Iran, a woman who was dressed up in defiance of the strict dress code prescribed by Islam, which indicated her disagreement with the laws of the republic. “She gave an interview and said that she had no tears left, and she did not want to cry; she thirsts for retribution,” Karine Gevorgyan noted.She believes that this attitude was caused by the tragedy at an Iranian primary school for girls, the attack on which killed more than 100 people. “That was the killing of children on the first day. The strike was deliberate, intended to create fear and panic. There is no panic. We see that as well. Iran is waking up, frankly speaking,” the political scientist noted.
She cited an example of the grandmother of one of her acquaintances, a Kuban Cossack woman, who during the Great Patriotic War saw the Germans exterminate the Jews. “When the German occupation began and all these Jews, including newborn children, were killed, she said a very strange phrase: 'I clenched my teeth then and did not unclench them until 9 May.' Something like that is starting to happen in Iran,” Karine Gevorgyan said.
"They made a bet on internal protests, which occur regularly in Iran,” Karine Gevorgyan emphasized. “If that was a military calculation, it turned out to be a mistake, because it is clear that in the current conditions, the society is consolidating.”
The orientalist cited an example from an interview with a resident of Iran, a woman who was dressed up in defiance of the strict dress code prescribed by Islam, which indicated her disagreement with the laws of the republic. “She gave an interview and said that she had no tears left, and she did not want to cry; she thirsts for retribution,” Karine Gevorgyan noted.She believes that this attitude was caused by the tragedy at an Iranian primary school for girls, the attack on which killed more than 100 people. “That was the killing of children on the first day. The strike was deliberate, intended to create fear and panic. There is no panic. We see that as well. Iran is waking up, frankly speaking,” the political scientist noted.
She cited an example of the grandmother of one of her acquaintances, a Kuban Cossack woman, who during the Great Patriotic War saw the Germans exterminate the Jews. “When the German occupation began and all these Jews, including newborn children, were killed, she said a very strange phrase: 'I clenched my teeth then and did not unclench them until 9 May.' Something like that is starting to happen in Iran,” Karine Gevorgyan said.
