MINSK, 6 October (BelTA) – In any political campaign it is necessary to bear in mind the most negative factors and prepare the system for such a scenario. Vadim Gigin, Director General of the National Library of Belarus, a member of the House of Representatives of the National Assembly of Belarus, shared the opinion in BelTA’s YouTube project V Teme [On Point].
Belarus President Aleksandr Lukashenko met with heads of election bodies of CIS states not so long ago. During the meeting the president noted that election campaigns had stopped being a technical procedure a long time ago. “Frankly speaking, it is already a battlefield in the pre-election period and the election period,” he noted. Vadim Gigin remarked: “Any political campaign has several scenarios. To achieve success, you have to prepare for the worst scenario. You always have to bear in mind the worst scenario. The president mentioned a battlefield and wartime conditions.”
The MP used combat operations as an example to model a hypothetical situation. Scouts inform the commanding officer about possible scenarios depending on the map of the terrain and possible plans of the enemy. But the commanding officer disregards intelligence data and takes actions contrary to the data. “A huge percentage of losses is most likely. You always have to take into account the most negative factors and prepare the system exactly for such a scenario,” he stressed.
Going back to the matter of the forthcoming presidential election, Vadim Gigin pointed out that the Belarusian state is opposed by very serious forces, which have no interest in peace and stability in Belarus’ territory. “So if a potential adversary sees our preparations for possible scenarios, then one time out of two it will simply not attack,” Vadim Gigin said.
To confirm his words, the MP noted that events of the year 2020 had been possible largely because of certain relaxation among civil servants, public organizations, and mass media. “And they often lacked discipline and were unprepared for serious challenges. They kept saying we’ve been through many campaigns and we will survive this one, too. And it was one of the reasons why the system, which should have mobilized in spring [of 2020], got mobilized with some delay,” he concluded.
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